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CONTRIBUTORS

Nicholas Hardingham, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income

Stephanie Ouwendijk, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Research Analyst, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income

Robert Nelson, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Research Analyst, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income

Joanna Woods, CFA

Portfolio Manager, Research Analyst, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income

Carlos Ortiz

Research Analyst, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income

Jamie Altmann

Research Analyst, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income

Preview

As investors in sovereign fixed income, we are naturally interested in factors that impact the long-term growth potential of emerging market (EM) countries, including human capital.

In this paper we take a closer look at what human capital is, why it matters and the ways in which government policymakers can best utilise the stock of available human capital. We consider the following:

  • What is human capital?
  • Why does human capital matter as sovereign investors?
  • Realising the potential of human capital.
  • ESG sovereign engagement in action: Jordan—on better utilising female human capital.
  • Human capital: an investment in the future.

To conclude, we highlight case studies in Vietnam and Nigeria and how human capital has impacted their economy.

WHAT ARE THE RISKS?

All investments involve risks, including possible loss of principal.

Fixed income securities involve interest rate, credit, inflation and reinvestment risks, and possible loss of principal. As interest rates rise, the value of fixed income securities falls.

Growth stock prices may fall dramatically if the company fails to meet projections of earnings or revenue; their prices may be more volatile than other securities, particularly over the short term.

Special risks are associated with investing in foreign securities, including risks associated with political and economic developments, trading practices, availability of information, limited markets and currency exchange rate fluctuations and policies; investments in emerging markets involve heightened risks related to the same factors. Sovereign debt securities are subject to various risks in addition to those relating to debt securities and foreign securities generally, including, but not limited to, the risk that a governmental entity may be unwilling or unable to pay interest and repay principal on its sovereign debt. To the extent a strategy focuses on particular countries, regions, industries, sectors or types of investment from time to time, it may be subject to greater risks of adverse developments in such areas of focus than a strategy that invests in a wider variety of countries, regions, industries, sectors or investments. China may be subject to considerable degrees of economic, political and social instability. Investments in securities of Chinese issuers involve risks that are specific to China, including certain legal, regulatory, political and economic risks.

The managers’ environmental, social and governance (ESG) strategies may limit the types and number of investments available and, as a result, may forgo favorable market opportunities or underperform strategies that are not subject to such criteria. There is no guarantee that the strategy's ESG directives will be successful or will result in better performance.

Any companies and/or case studies referenced herein are used solely for illustrative purposes; any investment may or may not be currently held by any portfolio advised by Franklin Templeton. The information provided is not a recommendation or individual investment advice for any particular security, strategy, or investment product and is not an indication of the trading intent of any Franklin Templeton managed portfolio.

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The views expressed are those of the investment manager and the comments, opinions and analyses are rendered as at publication date and may change without notice. The underlying assumptions and these views are subject to change based on market and other conditions and may differ from other portfolio managers or of the firm as a whole. The information provided in this material is not intended as a complete analysis of every material fact regarding any country, region or market. There is no assurance that any prediction, projection or forecast on the economy, stock market, bond market or the economic trends of the markets will be realized. The value of investments and the income from them can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount that you invested. Past performance is not necessarily indicative nor a guarantee of future performance. All investments involve risks, including possible loss of principal.

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